{"created":"2023-06-20T13:24:09.451783+00:00","id":5526,"links":{},"metadata":{"_buckets":{"deposit":"a94682d4-26b8-4f40-a08c-097a4b505e04"},"_deposit":{"created_by":24,"id":"5526","owners":[24],"pid":{"revision_id":0,"type":"depid","value":"5526"},"status":"published"},"_oai":{"id":"oai:ir.soken.ac.jp:00005526","sets":["1:448:475","1:474"]},"author_link":["415","6806","4398","6807"],"item_10001_biblio_info_7":{"attribute_name":"書誌情報","attribute_value_mlt":[{"bibliographicIssueDates":{"bibliographicIssueDate":"2014-06-06","bibliographicIssueDateType":"Issued"},"bibliographicIssueNumber":"6","bibliographicPageStart":"e98518 (pp13) ","bibliographicVolumeNumber":"9","bibliographic_titles":[{"bibliographic_title":"PLoS ONE"},{"bibliographic_title":"PLoS ONE","bibliographic_titleLang":"en"}]}]},"item_10001_creator_3":{"attribute_name":"著者別名","attribute_type":"creator","attribute_value_mlt":[{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"YASHIMA, Kenta"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"SASAKI, Akira"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]}]},"item_10001_description_5":{"attribute_name":"抄録","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"An understanding of epidemiological dynamics is important for prevention and control of epidemic outbreaks. However, previous studies tend to focus only on specific areas, indicating that application to another area or intervention strategy requires a similar time-consuming simulation. Here, we study the epidemic dynamics of the disease-spread over a commute network, using the Tokyo metropolitan area as an example, in an attempt to elucidate the general properties of epidemic spread over a commute network that could be used for a prediction in any metropolitan area. The model is formulated on the basis of a metapopulation network in which local populations are interconnected by actual commuter flows in the Tokyo metropolitan area and the spread of infection is simulated by an individual-based model. We find that the probability of a global epidemic as well as the final epidemic sizes in both global and local populations, the timing of the epidemic peak, and the time at which the epidemic reaches a local population are mainly determined by the joint distribution of the local population sizes connected by the commuter flows, but are insensitive to geographical or topological structure of the network. Moreover, there is a strong relation between the population size and the time that the epidemic reaches this local population and we are able to determine the reason for this relation as well as its dependence on the commute network structure and epidemic parameters. This study shows that the model based on the connection between the population size classes is sufficient to predict both global and local epidemic dynamics in metropolitan area. Moreover, the clear relation of the time taken by the epidemic to reach each local population can be used as a novel measure for intervention; this enables efficient intervention strategies in each local population prior to the actual arrival.","subitem_description_type":"Abstract"}]},"item_10001_link_29":{"attribute_name":"論文注記","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_link_text":"This article has been corrected. See PLoS One. 2015 July 8; 10(7): e0132238.","subitem_link_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0132238"}]},"item_10001_publisher_8":{"attribute_name":"出版者","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_publisher":"Public Library of Science / San Francisco, CA"}]},"item_10001_relation_13":{"attribute_name":"PubMed番号","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"24905831","subitem_relation_type_select":"PMID"}}]},"item_10001_relation_14":{"attribute_name":"DOI","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_relation_name":[{"subitem_relation_name_text":"10.1371/journal.pone.0098518 ＜PLoS ONE Open Access Full Text＞"}],"subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0132238","subitem_relation_type_select":"DOI"}}]},"item_10001_relation_17":{"attribute_name":"関連サイト","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_relation_name":[{"subitem_relation_name_text":"Article ＜PMC Free Full text＞ "}],"subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4048205/","subitem_relation_type_select":"URI"}},{"subitem_relation_name":[{"subitem_relation_name_text":"Archive of PLoS ONE ＜PMC Journal List＞"}],"subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/journals/440/","subitem_relation_type_select":"URI"}},{"subitem_relation_name":[{"subitem_relation_name_text":"About PLoS ONE ＜Public Library of Science＞ "}],"subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/journal-information","subitem_relation_type_select":"URI"}}]},"item_10001_rights_31":{"attribute_name":"権利","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_rights":"© 2014 Yashima, Sasaki. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. | http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/licenses-and-copyright"}]},"item_10001_source_id_26":{"attribute_name":"Online ISSN","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_source_identifier":"1932-6203","subitem_source_identifier_type":"ISSN"}]},"item_10001_text_23":{"attribute_name":"著者注記","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_value":"Kenta, Yashima：Department of Evolutionary Studies of Biosystems (Sokendai-Hayama), The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (Sokendai) *(Research Fellow) "},{"subitem_text_value":"Akira Sasaki：Department of Evolutionary Studies of Biosystems (Sokendai-Hayama), The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (Sokendai) *(Professor)"}]},"item_10001_text_24":{"attribute_name":"PMC番号","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_value":"PMC4048205"}]},"item_10001_text_25":{"attribute_name":"雑誌情報","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_value":"Publication Start Year : 2006"},{"subitem_text_value":"Frequency : Monthly "},{"subitem_text_value":"A Peer-Reviewed, Open Access Journal, Electronic only"}]},"item_creator":{"attribute_name":"著者","attribute_type":"creator","attribute_value_mlt":[{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"YASHIMA, Kenta "}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"SASAKI, Akira "}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]}]},"item_files":{"attribute_name":"ファイル情報","attribute_type":"file","attribute_value_mlt":[{"accessrole":"open_date","date":[{"dateType":"Available","dateValue":"2017-02-10"}],"displaytype":"detail","filename":"0098518 file.pdf","filesize":[{"value":"1.7 MB"}],"format":"application/pdf","licensetype":"license_11","mimetype":"application/pdf","url":{"label":"本文","url":"https://ir.soken.ac.jp/record/5526/files/0098518 file.pdf"},"version_id":"90698f5a-4805-4b48-be8a-395cc2e7bca1"}]},"item_keyword":{"attribute_name":"キーワード","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_subject":"Cities","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Epidemics","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Humans","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Models.Statistical","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Tokyo","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"Transportation ＜NLM MeSH Terms＞","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"}]},"item_language":{"attribute_name":"言語","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_language":"eng"}]},"item_resource_type":{"attribute_name":"資源タイプ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"resourcetype":"journal article","resourceuri":"http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501"}]},"item_title":"Epidemic process over the commute network in a metropolitan area.","item_titles":{"attribute_name":"タイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_title":"Epidemic process over the commute network in a metropolitan area."},{"subitem_title":"Epidemic process over the commute network in a metropolitan area.","subitem_title_language":"en"}]},"item_type_id":"10001","owner":"24","path":["110","474","475"],"pubdate":{"attribute_name":"公開日","attribute_value":"2017-02-10"},"publish_date":"2017-02-10","publish_status":"0","recid":"5526","relation_version_is_last":true,"title":["Epidemic process over the commute network in a metropolitan area."],"weko_creator_id":"24","weko_shared_id":-1},"updated":"2023-06-20T14:16:58.751599+00:00"}